KurdistanObserver.com

Erdogan May Lose Kurdish Support

By Ayla Jean Yackley

Nov. 1 (Bloomberg) -- Kurds in southeast Turkey ( Turkish-occupied Kurdistan) voted this summer in record numbers for Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his promise to bring peace to their region. Now, with Turkish troops massed for a possible invasion of Iraq, the talk is of curtailed political rights and ethnic strife.

Erdogan is threatening a full-scale military operation in Iraqi Kurdistan to root out guerrillas from the Kurdistan Workers' Party, or PKK, after almost 50 soldiers were killed last month. Such a move would exacerbate tensions between Turks and the estimated 15 million  Kurds in Turkey, who represent 20 percent of the country's population.

"The rising tide of nationalism feels directed at Kurds, and people here fear a civil war,'' said Fahri Timur, 33, head of the Human Rights Association in the mainly Kurdish town of Hakkari. ``This government has improved the situation for Kurds, but we can't expect respect for human rights in the middle of a war.''

On Oct. 17, parliament approved a military incursion into Iraq. Since then, there have been at least 17 attacks on pro- Kurdish Democratic Society Party offices, including arson and crowds smashing windows, said the party, which has 20 lawmakers in parliament.

The U.S. opposes an invasion by Turkey, its only Muslim ally in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, because such a move might further destabilize Iraq. Erdogan, 53, is scheduled to meet with President George W. Bush in Washington Nov. 5. Turkey's top general, Yasar Buyukanit, has said the army will wait for that meeting before starting any major operation.

Deployed on the Border

The province of Hakkari, which has the same name as its capital and shares borders with Iraq and Iran, was the site of an Oct. 21 clash with the PKK that killed 12 Turkish soldiers. The Turkish army has deployed 80,000 troops on the border and last week shelled areas inside Iraqi Kurdistan.

Security has tightened around the town of Hakkari, surrounded by mountains some 2,000 meters (6,500 feet) high and accessible by only one road. Guards now check travelers for identification, and Kurds armed and hired by the Turkish military to fight the PKK perch on small ridges above the road, which snakes along the Zapsu River.

Timur said the conditions are reminiscent of the period from 1987 to 2002 when Hakkari and other, mostly Kurdish, southeastern Turkish provinces were under martial law.

Rebellion

Kurds first revolted in the 1920s following the collapse of the Ottoman Empire. The newly formed Turkish republic crushed the rebellion. The next major uprising came in 1984, when the then-Maoist PKK took up arms against Turkey's government. Fighting was reduced to sporadic clashes after Turkish commandos captured PKK leader Abdullah Ocalan in 1999 and forced most of the rebels to retreat to the mountains of northern Iraq. About 40,000 people, mainly Kurds, have died since the mid-1980s.

The death toll in the first half of this year is 225, compared with 294 in all of 2006, according to the Human Rights Association.

"People are jumpy, worried it's a return to dark days,'' said Hakkari Deputy Mayor Ismail Akboga. "There was a collective sigh of relief as the worst of the conflict appeared behind us. Advances will be lost if there's a war.''

Akboga, a member of the Democratic Society Party, says the lives of Turkey's Kurds have improved, partly because of government efforts to comply with European Union membership criteria.

Political Solution

Since taking power in 2002, Erdogan's Justice and Development Party has lifted bans on Kurdish-language broadcasting and education and called for a political solution to end the PKK insurrection. Almost half the voters in the southeast backed the party in the July elections, helping Erdogan capture 341 seats in the 550-member parliament.

"People voted for Justice because they believed it has the power to solve the Kurdish problem,'' said Akboga, 33. "Now the fear of bombs has eroded that hope.''

Increased government aid to the region for health care, basic services and education also drew Kurdish support, said Ahmet Sen, head of Hakkari's chamber of commerce. Hakkari's annual per-capita income is $1,000, less than a fifth of the national average, and unemployment is about 60 percent, he said.

Economic Mainstays

The conflict with the PKK has nearly wiped out the former economic mainstays of agriculture and animal husbandry as thousands of Kurds have fled fighting near their villages for the town, where the population more than doubled in the 1990s to 70,000 now.

Hakkari province's sole border crossing to Iraq has been shut for two decades, Sen said. Erdogan last week threatened trade restrictions to force Iraqi Kurds who run the semi- autonomous area there to crack down on the PKK.

Ali Ozdemir, 42, works for a Turkish construction company in Iraqi Kurdistanand hasn't returned to his job because he fears an all-out war. He estimated 4,000 Turkish nationals work in Iraq's north, where Kurds have family and linguistic ties.

"These borders don't mean much to us, and an attack on Iraqi Kurdistan is an attack on our brothers,'' said Ozdemir, who voted for Erdogan in the last election. ``Justice won with the hope to end this conflict. A war will extinguish our optimism.''

To contact the reporter on this story: Ayla Jean Yackley in Hakkari, Turkey, at ayackley@bloomberg.net .
 

 

 


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