ULAIMANIYA,
Iraq, Feb. 17 - From his snow-covered mountain fortress, Massoud Barzani sees
little other than the rugged hills of Iraqi Kurdistan and green-clad militiamen
posted along the serpentine road below.
The border with the Arab-dominated rest of Iraq is far off. Baghdad lies even
farther off and, if Kurdish leaders like Mr. Barzani have their way, will fade
almost entirely out of the picture here.
Since the fall of Saddam Hussein, the Kurds have made known their
determination to retain a degree of autonomy in the territory they have
dominated for more than a decade. Now, after their strong performance in the
elections last month, Kurdish leaders are for the first time spelling out
specific demands.
From control of oil reserves to the retention of the Kurdish militia, the
pesh merga, to full authority over taxation, the requested powers add up to an
autonomy that is hard to distinguish from independence.
"The fact remains that we are two different nationalities in Iraq - we are
Kurds and Arabs," Mr. Barzani said as he sat in a reception hall at his
headquarters in Salahuddin. "If the Kurdish people agree to stay in the
framework of Iraq in one form or another as a federation, then other people
should be grateful to them."
Kurdish autonomy is expected to be one of the most divisive issues during the
drafting of the new constitution, alongside the debate over the role of Islam in
the new Iraq. The Kurds' demands are already alarming Iraq's Arabs, particularly
the majority Shiites, and raising tensions with neighboring countries, where
governments are trying to suppress Kurdish separatist movements within their own
borders.
In interviews, top Kurdish leaders like Mr. Barzani, head of the Kurdistan
Democratic Party, set out a list of demands that are more far-reaching than the
Kurds have articulated in the past:
¶They want the ownership of any natural resources, including oilfields, and
the power to determine how the revenues are split with the central government.
¶They want authority over the formidable militia called the pesh merga,
estimated at up to 100,000 members, in defiance of the American goal of
dismantling ethnic and sectarian armies. The pesh merga would be under nominal
national oversight, but actual control would remain with regional commanders. No
other armed forces would be allowed to enter Kurdistan without permission from
Kurdish officials.
¶They want power to appoint officials to work in and operate ministries in
Kurdistan, which would parallel those in Baghdad. These would include the
ministries that oversee security and the economy.
¶They want authority over fiscal policy, including oversight of taxes and the
power to decide how much tax revenue goes to Baghdad. The national government
would make monetary policy but would not be able to raise revenue from Kurdistan
without the agreement of Kurdish officials.
Moreover, the region's borders would be changed, in the Kurds' vision. The
"green line" that defines the boundary between the Kurdistan and the rest of
Iraq would be officially pushed south, to take in the oil-rich city of Kirkuk,
the city of Khanaqin and the area of Sinjar. Kurdish leaders argue that this
would just reestablish historic borders where Mr. Hussein had drastically
altered the demographics by displacing Kurds with Arab settlers.
"It must be clear in the constitution what is for the Kurds and what is for
the Iraqi government," said Fouad Hussein, an influential independent Kurdish
politician.
The fierce political drive of the Kurds, who make up a fifth of Iraq's 28
million people, became apparent during the Jan. 30 elections, when turnout
across the three provinces of Iraqi Kurdistan - Sulaimaniya, Erbil and Dohuk -
averaged 84 percent, well above the national average of 58 percent.
Those votes secured for the main Kurdish alliance 75 of 275 seats in the
constitutional assembly. The alliance finished second, behind the main Shiite
slate, which ended up with a slim majority of 140 seats, which is short of the
two-thirds needed to form a government.
The Kurds are now in the position of kingmaker, courted by the Shiite parties
and competing smaller groups like the secular slate led by Prime Minister Ayad
Allawi.
The Kurds are asking for Mr. Barzani's main rival, Jalal Talabani, to be
chosen as president. More audacious is their insistence on broad powers for
their region under a federal system. The autonomy envisioned by the Kurds is
likely to inflame the formerly ruling Sunni Arabs, who lack officially
authorized militias and rich natural resources in their own traditional
territory.
But it is the Shiites, having finally achieved here after decades of
struggle, who are likely to offer the strongest opposition to Kurdish autonomy.
The top Shiite clerics "are very difficult," said Nawzad Hadi Mawlood, the
governor of Erbil Province, the largest Kurdish province. "They're hard
negotiators," he said. "They're inflexible. The Shia do not want to admit the
federal system for the Kurds."
Many Shiite leaders complain that the Kurds press too many demands and
already exercise power in the interim government out of proportion with their
numbers. Kurds hold the posts of deputy prime minister, foreign minister and the
head of Parliament, as well as one of two vice presidencies.
"There is a sense that the Kurds have taken more privileges than the others,"
said Sheik Humam Hamoudi, a senior official of the Supreme Council for the
Islamic Revolution in Iraq, a powerful Shiite party. "So we advise the Kurds to
be more Iraqi."
Besides holding more than a quarter of the seats in the constitutional
assembly, the Kurds have another powerful tool in the transitional law approved
last spring. Under that law, a two-thirds vote in any three provinces can veto a
national referendum on the constitution. Kurdish leaders could easily mobilize
such a vote.
The relatively secular Kurds might also make a deal with the religious
Shiites in which the Kurds would gain significant autonomy in return for
agreeing not to block Shiite efforts to establish an Islamic form of government
elsewhere in Iraq.
Kurdish leaders argue that their push for federalism is nothing more than an
attempt to maintain the status quo. Iraqi Kurdistan, a mountainous area the size
of Switzerland, has existed as an autonomous region since the end of the Persian
Gulf war of 1991, when the American military established a no-flight zone in
northern Iraq.
"Like all the nations of the world, all the people of the world, we have the
ability to rule ourselves, and we've proven that in the last 14 years," Hezha
Anoor, 18, said as he and his friends stood outside a Chinese restaurant here in
Sulaimaniya, the capital of eastern Kurdistan.
Iraqi Kurdish leaders maintain that while they would like to see an
independent Kurdistan in their lifetimes, secession is not practical now.
The threat from countries like Turkey is too great, they say. And the economy
of Kurdistan, which depended on smuggling during the United Nations sanctions
against Iraq imposed in the 1990's, would benefit from sharing in revenues from
the vast southern oilfields, said Barham Salih, the deputy prime minister of
Iraq and a top Kurdish official.
Yet if the Kurdish leaders do succeed in winning strong autonomy, that could
inspire greater calls for independence. "Iraq is a beast," Pire Mughan, 63, a
grizzled poet and former pesh merga fighter, said as he sipped tea in the shadow
of the citadel of Erbil. "Arabs are beasts, because their entire history is one
of killings and massacres.
"I didn't vote for anyone in the elections, because I believe in
independence, not in federalism. If I had voted, it would have meant voting for
federalism, and that would have been treason for future generations."