Kurdish Hostility Towards The Shia
Hostile Makeover
by Spencer Ackerman
TNR Online Feb 17, 2006
Adel Abdul Mahdi probably thought he
did everything right when he walked into the Kurdish parliament building here on
January 21. Back then, Mahdi was the odds-on favorite to become Iraq's next
prime minister. According to a de facto sectarian apportionment of the
highest-ranking governmental positions, the Shia super-bloc known as the United
Iraqi Alliance (UIA) essentially chooses the prime minister, and Mahdi was the
choice of his party, the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq (SCIRI),
which was thought to be the dominant faction within the UIA. He had evidently
taken his trip to Iraqi Kurdistan to return a favor: Throughout January, Kurdish
notables had suggested to reporters that they would prefer a Mahdi premiership
to another term for Ibrahim Jaafari, whom they consider a theocrat and, worse, a
weakling. January 21 was the day that the two ruling Kurdish parties formally
unveiled an arduously negotiated deal to merge their dual administrations into a
single entity. Mahdi wasn't going to miss the ceremony, which was filled with
other aspirants to power, like ex-premier Iyad Allawi.
It was smart for Mahdi to kiss the Kurdish
ring, as wooing the Kurdistan Alliance is critical for anyone seeking to be part
of the new government. But whatever Kurdish goodwill Mahdi possessed wasn't
enough to save his candidacy. Earlier this week, followers of radical cleric
Moqtada Sadr rallied just enough support for Jaafari to earn him a re-nomination
as prime minister, thereby preventing a victory by Sadr's bitter opponents in
SCIRI. The Kurds let it be known through the press
that they weren't pleased with the Shia's choice--something that appears to be
part of a recent trend. Even before Mahdi crashed and burned, the Kurds had been
musing aloud that Shia power needs to be curbed. "The Shia may have the majority
to elect a prime minister, and have to have their prime minister, but the most
important thing is that every faction should have qualified people nominated for
the cabinet," Fadhil Merani, the head of the Kurdistan Democratic Party's
politburo, told me two weeks ago. "Iraq needs a strong prime minister with a
clear agenda, to rule Iraq as part of a strong government, not as a religion or
a sect."
Merani was being diplomatic, but I heard
similar criticism of the Shia expressed a lot more harshly from others. Around
Kurdistan there's a surprising amount of outright hostility to the Shia, with
whom the Kurds formed the last government. Anti-Shia skepticism runs along a
spectrum, stretching from concern that a continued alliance with the Shia hurts
Kurdish long-term aspirations for independence on one side to outright racism on
the other. Some even intimate that it wouldn't be such an awful thing if the
Sunnis--who oppressed the Kurds for generations--returned to power in Baghdad.
But while nostalgia for Sunni rule is hardly likely to take hold among the
Kurdish mainstream, Shia like Mahdi who look to the Kurdish north for governing
partners should probably expect an icier reception than they've gotten in the
past.
Casual settings can easily turn into a forum
for Shia-bashing. Over dinner with a friend in a swank neighborhood in the
Kurdish capital, what started as a routine swap of political gossip quickly
descended into an airing of grievances with the Shia. Sadr had recently promised
to defend Iran in the event of a U.S. attack. My friend's questioning was
plaintive: Didn't the United States understand it was putting Iranian proxies
into power? When I responded that the last thing the United States wants is to
see Sadr in a position of prominence, he told me rather nonchalantly that he was
talking about the Shia in general. My friend--who himself was once extremely
close to being taken hostage by Sunni insurgents in Falluja--then launched into
a defense of the insurgency, promising that if the United States simply reopened
the political process to the old Sunni elite, the Sunnis would first crush any
Al Qaeda elements among them "in ten minutes," and then would "sort out" the
Iranian agents. When I told him that sounded like throwing the democratic
process out the window to the benefit of the Kurds' historic enemies, he
shrugged. Before changing the subject, he warned that "the fanatics"--that is,
the Shia--would be even worse for both Kurds and Iraqi Arabs.
Ahmed Penjweny has a more strategic focus but
expresses much of the same vitriol. Penjweny is a prominent Erbil cleric who, as
a member of the upstart Kurdistan Islamic Union party, served as a
parliamentarian in Baghdad during the interim assembly and helped draft the
Iraqi constitution. He considers the rise of Shia power in Iraq directly
threatening to the Kurds, who he thinks are insufficiently aware of the danger.
"Our media praises the Shia a lot, because of our mutual opposition to Saddam
Hussein," Penjweny lamented to me. "But this is bad. This is the time of ruling
and power, not a time to be courteous to the Shia." For Penjweny, Kurdish
interests--most importantly, the desire for an independent Kurdish state in the
future--can be damaged by an illusory sense of common ground with the Shia, even
on issues like federalism, which both fervently champion. "Some Kurdish leaders
think federalism for the Shia will be good for the Kurds, but this is wrong,"
Penjweny argued. "It lessens the specialty of the Kurdish nation. We have our
own traditions and our own language. Federalism for the Shia makes the matter of
the Kurds trivial on the world stage. If there are three or four regions [in
Iraq], it will be a threat to our eventual independence." In a subsequent
interview, Penjweny took a much more caustic view: "The Shia are simple and
ignorant. They can't rule Iraq. Only the Sunnis can."
The Kurdish leadership doesn't go anywhere near
that far. But the UIA's decision to give Jaafari another term was greeted by a
sharp warning from Kurdish leader Jalal Talabani. Clearly uncomfortable with the
theocratic drift of the UIA, Talabani insisted that the Kurds would only take
part in a UIA-led coalition government if the UIA included Allawi's secular
Iraqi List. Allawi is hated by many in the UIA, who consider him to be a "little
Saddam," but Talabani emphasized that "any rejection of the Iraqi List is a
rejection of the Kurdish Coalition." Allawi will be a bitter pill for the UIA to
swallow, but since the Shia don't have enough seats in parliament to form a
government by themselves, it's hard to see how they can avoid his inclusion in
the next administration. That would be a big victory for Talabani--and probably
not the last time the Kurds attempt to rein in their Shia allies.