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The Last Chance For A Unified Iraq
Jan 16, 2007
By: Dr.Nazhad Khasraw
Hawramany
Switzerland
At last President Bush announced his new
strategy about the new course of action in
Iraq,
Mr Bush is risking the political future of his administration when he decided a
final push to save the united
Iraq,
by sending 20\000 more troops to
Iraq
to clear
Baghdad from Sunni insurgents and Shiite militiamen. He is under immense
pressure from the Democrats and large sections of American public weary of the
lack of progress in
Iraq.
No doubt that the Democrats who are controlling both Houses now are
pressurising the president Bush to reduce his commitment to Iraqi people and
withdraw troops from
Iraq
as soon as possible, after all the Iraqi liberation would never have happened
under a Democratic administration ( remember the no action strategy of Bill
Clinton).
There is no doubt that the president have
chosen to ignore the recommendations of the infamous Baker-Hamilton Report ( at
least for the time being) and he is acting on a borrowed time facing the immense
pressure from people who unfortunately does not seem to understand his global
war on terrorism even after the 9\11 terrorist attack on WTC.
The sectarian violence in
Iraq
have reached new levels, and large sections of
Baghdad
experiences sectarian cleansing perpetrated by both Shiites and Sunnis alike,
and it seems very unlikely that these two communities could ever live together,
making the prospects of a wide scale civil war and disintegration of
Iraq
as a unified state a real prospect, taking into considerations that the Kurds
cannot stay for ever committed to a unified
Iraq
which is declining into civil war.
I have heard many analysts and commentators
recently stressing the point that this final Push might be the last chance to
keep Iraq
under a unified government, meaning that if this last ditch effort to end
instability and sectarian violence failed, then the President Bush have no
alternative other than pulling troops out of
Iraq
and leaving
Iraq
to its destiny of civil war and disintegration into three states, Kurdistan in
the north, Shiites in south and central
Iraq
and Sunnis in West
Iraq,
which in itself might eventually be the best way to bring stability and peace
between those communities if they reached an understanding about distribution of
oil wealth, if the Americans made sure at least that the neighbouring
countries will not be involved directly in the conflict in
Iraq.
One could say that the coming few months will
be decisive for the future of a unified
Iraq.
The political leadership of all factions are bound to show if they are up to
this task.
