KurdistanObserver.com

Turkish-US Relations Could Turn Sour: Report
Report by Tareq Bouhaimad

ANKARA, January 17, -KUNA - Turkish-US relations are going through a period of instability due to Ankara's doubts about US plans for the Kurdish people not only in Kurdistan region (northern Iraq) but also in Kurdish southern Turkey.

Up till now, Turkey has listened to Washington's advices and abided by them. But The Turks are realizing that the Americans are facing increasing problems in Iraq and have little or no time to spend on Ankara's concerns with regard to expansionist or separatist designs by the Kurdish minority in both Turkey and Iraq.

Now while Turks and Kurds are getting ready for a possible clash, Turkey has given up hope that the Americans would cut the Kurds to size and hopes instead to get a green light from Washington to launch a "limited strike against bases of the Kurdistan Workers Party" (Kurdish: Partiya Karkeran Kurdistan or PKK), in Iraqi provinces close to the border.

Ankara also hopes that the US administration would convince Iraqi Kurds to sit on the fence and watch and not interfere with Turkey's action against the PKK.

Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyep Erdogan had confided to UA President George W. Bush in July 2006, during telephone calls between the two leaders that the strikes against the PKK should be launched as soon as possible or he (Erdogan) could lose control over Turkish generals keen to launch such a strike as soon as possible.

Erdogan's remarks were prompted by the growing number of victims of PKK attacks against Turkish targets.

Similarly, a senior Turkish Intelligence officer was quoted as saying that the wait-and-see policy with the Kurds was no longer tenable and action was needed.

Meanwhile, a Turkish political analyst called Ehan Bashi told KUNA that the question was, at present, not whether or not the Turkish strike against the Kurds would take place, but what would be the response to such a strike by the US army.

"Washington is certainly not be happy about the Kurds helping the PKK, which is not likely to give up the fight and call it a day," Bashi said. He added that Turkey was not just any country, but a member of NATO and a major power in this part of the world. Therefore, it (Turkey) should not be overlooked in a political and military context, he said.

He stated that the NATO base in Incirlik, in south Turkey, was a non-combat base. But, just the same, it was a base for military aircraft for NATO in general, but for US forces in Iraq in particular.

Another analyst, Mehmet Ali Brand Feri, said in his daily column that Washington was not convinced that the problem (of the PKK) would be resolved by any Turkish military intrusion in northern Iraq's Kurdish provinces. Therefore, Washington would dislike such an intrusion for its negative effect on turbulent Iraq.

"Washington cannot afford such adventures that could trigger more ethnic and sectarian hatred in Iraq," Feri said.

The worst case scenario for Turkey is the setting up of a separate Kurdish state in Northern Iraq because that would have a devastating effect on Iraq's national unity.

Kirkuk in particular is a source of concern for Turkey, in case there is a separate state, because the city is made up of several ethnic minorities and because of the oil wealth in that city.

 

 


 

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